Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 152.707466 176.685633 204.367147 238.959937 281.415371 332.322273 3.987471e+02
2025-06-29 118.480707 147.752791 185.061657 237.091175 309.409997 408.961951 5.611920e+02
2025-07-06 99.945018 130.913702 173.085552 236.562736 333.151765 480.914008 7.379556e+02
2025-07-13 91.840795 125.451098 173.922693 252.035598 381.286226 600.232109 1.034618e+03
2025-07-20 86.358983 122.324140 176.869534 270.350513 437.591671 750.334022 1.460318e+03
2025-07-27 78.809668 114.760077 171.438969 273.405942 467.753923 862.699679 1.873023e+03
2025-08-03 73.406792 109.653455 168.901365 280.518797 506.794953 1006.782932 2.458199e+03
2025-08-10 67.744851 103.336777 163.281326 280.686356 531.699499 1129.258532 3.081701e+03
2025-08-17 63.465458 98.761817 159.943292 284.407442 565.017338 1286.216725 3.963863e+03
2025-08-24 59.085067 93.500401 154.624031 283.089266 586.494219 1422.001063 4.923341e+03
2025-08-31 55.399727 89.055289 150.215182 282.816819 610.455174 1577.072731 6.176909e+03
2025-09-07 52.886843 86.436287 148.906291 288.961045 652.590528 1812.236988 8.235398e+03
2025-09-14 47.690681 78.776129 137.573818 272.305047 633.786543 1849.240252 9.355001e+03
2025-09-21 44.508170 74.616866 132.834855 270.432246 657.481024 2064.811343 1.236509e+04
2025-09-28 41.817454 71.104187 128.942331 269.817706 685.083389 2320.628288 1.674182e+04
2025-10-05 41.016766 71.131245 132.395660 288.156120 779.744166 2965.407553 2.927772e+04
2025-10-12 40.455361 71.553752 136.741276 309.933616 897.360644 3884.999780 5.732521e+04
2025-10-19 38.614487 69.194295 134.586080 313.573965 951.739340 4529.988197 9.354913e+04
2025-10-26 37.246873 67.675499 134.146987 322.056340 1030.063254 5472.127644 1.767646e+05
2025-11-02 35.489535 65.175200 131.104570 322.256292 1074.986334 6260.756040 3.127072e+05
2025-11-09 34.119370 63.380749 129.535556 326.698311 1142.059475 7399.361518 6.734318e+05
2025-11-16 32.538446 60.996675 126.257119 325.124410 1181.260153 8385.227934 1.429590e+06
2025-11-23 31.146821 58.917984 123.512179 324.799154 1227.696651 9604.595789 3.799443e+06